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Saturday, August 22, 2009

World Economy Emerging From Worst Recession Since World War II (ext: Bloomberg)

Aug. 22 (Bloomberg) -- The global economy may be coming out of the worst recession since World War II as record-low interest rates and trillions of dollars in fiscal stimulus spur demand.

Sales of existing U.S. homes jumped in July to the highest level since August 2007, and German service industries expanded this month for the first time in almost a year, reports yesterday showed. The Japanese economy grew for the first time in five quarters, according to a report earlier this week.

“There is no question the global economy is healing and emerging from recession,” Kenneth Rogoff, a Harvard University professor and former chief economist for the International Monetary Fund, said in a Bloomberg Television interview yesterday.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and other global policy makers cautioned that the recovery is likely to be muted, indicating they would not soon remove all the stimulus injected into the financial system.

“Strains persist in many financial markets across the globe,” Bernanke said in a speech yesterday at the Kansas City Fed’s annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. “The economic recovery is likely to be relatively slow at first, with unemployment declining only gradually from high levels.”

The U.S. housing market, which led the way into the recession, is showing signs of righting itself after almost four years of declines. The 7.2 percent rise in sales of existing homes last month was the biggest since the National Association of Realtors began keeping records in 1999.

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