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Tuesday, September 8, 2009

SapuraCrest Petroleum - Expect a barrel of positives in 2Q results (CIMB)

We highlight two issues in this note:

1) 2Q results, which will be released this week, are expected to be commendable and in line with our forecast, with a net profit of at least RM35m (+35% qoq and +10% yoy). The main catalysts are higher drilling charter rates, improved associate contribution and a new Shell contract.

2) Winners of the five-package, RM3bn transport & installation contract may be announced in Oct instead of Nov. Supported by in-house pipelay barges, SapuraCrest is gunning for all five packages.

Although we maintain our forecasts and target basis of 15x P/E, our target price rises from RM2.07 to RM2.56 as we roll it a year forward to end-CY10. SapuraCrest remains firmly a BUY, with the potential re-rating catalysts being 1) new contract wins, 2) success in new markets, and 3) a growing fleet of strategic assets.

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