Dengkil land the key re-rating catalyst.
Development potential of Glomac’s 192 acres of land at Dengkil has
caught our eye during our latest round of company visits. In the recent
years, township developments have gradually shifted outward from the KL
city centre due to land scarcity. Glomac acquired this Dengkil land in
Jun 2012 at a land cost of MYR8 psf (MYR67m), and we understand that
this parcel of land is located opposite IOI’s newly-acquired 330-acre
land in Kota Warisan. Glomac’s land is not far from the Salak Tinggi ERL
station. More than 10k employees and workers at LCCT and KLIA will be
the key driver for property demand. Residents who work in KL may opt to
travel via the ERL, and it will only take about 30min to hit to KL
Sentral (a one-way ticket costs MYR12.50). Meanwhile, it was reported
that Xiamen University is going to set up its first overseas branch
campus on a 150-acre site at Salak Tinggi, with a student capacity of
10k. Near to the airport, there are also plans to build a Premium
Outlet.
¨ GDV revised to MYR1.2bn.
Including some other smaller land parcels that Glomac has accumulated,
the Dengkil land size has now risen to 231 acres. Linked houses there
are currently commanding a market price of about MYR500k per unit. GDV
for the land has, therefore, been revised up to MYR1.2bn. We will not
discount the possibility of a further upward revision in the GDV in
future when other surrounding developments are taking shape.
¨ Forecasts. No change in
our earnings forecasts. The Dengkil township is slated for launch in
1H2014. Earnings contribution from township projects is expected to grow
stronger going forward, when some of Glomac’s high-rise projects are
completed.
¨ Upgrade to Buy. Given
the encouraging prospects, we revise some of our RNAV assumptions. Our
fair value is raised to MYR1.55, at a lower 20% discount to RNAV (from
25%). We upgrade the stock to Buy.
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