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Monday, November 12, 2012

Sentiment Index - Malaysia Stock Market

Constructed and written by Smartbiz 


Intraday Oscillator: Local sentiment continued to subdue in low volume as the key index soaked in the red in most of the session. The Oscillator finished at -225.98 lost 212.82 compared to its opening point at -13.16. The Average recorded as -154.28; weakened by 51.03 compared to -103.25 of the previous session.

MSCD: After today’s market, %K is almost flat but the Histogram printed yet another longer bar in the negative zone.

MSCD data are appended as below:
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DATEA_OSC%K%D%AHGM
11/6/2012-254.42-119.23-87.44-88.71-2.86
11/7/2012-86.24-114.15-87.36-88.62-7.65
11/8/2012-378.99-154.89-108.97-99.18-15.30
11/9/2012-103.25-146.94-108.54-99.33-19.92
11/12/2012-154.28-148.07-111.93-101.33-23.16
LAST+--51.03-1.13-3.39-2.00-3.24


Analysis: Market bearishness will continue until we see %K lifted its head higher. But the scarce participation from investor will see slim hope for this week due to the short trading days. We are looking forward for a new development by next week.

Explanation on MSCD: 
1. %K (Yellow) is a 12-Day EMA Oscillator that reflects the trend of present market sentiment. 
2. %D (Red) is a 26-Day EMA Oscillator serves as a trigger line for short-term trend of market sentiment. Market is considered as under short term bearishness once %K fell below %D but will recover sooner or vice versa.
3. %A (Blue) is a 54-Day EMA Oscillator serves as a trigger line for mid-term trend of market sentiment. Market is considered as under mid-term bearishness once %D fell below %A and will take longer to recover or vice versa. 
4. HGM (Histogram) is a bar signal that shows the relative strength of %K and %D. 
5. All data are taken from the Intra-Day Market Sentiment Oscillator (MSO) computed from the number of Gainer and Loser in a regular time basis.


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