Translate

Translate This Page

Thursday, November 8, 2012

Sentiment Index - Malaysia Stock Market

Constructed and written by Smartbiz 


Intraday Oscillator: Regional markets tumbled after overnight Dow Jones suffered more than 300 points losses. Local sentiment subsided immediately after opening with the Oscillator slid all the way to finish at -421.52 lost 290.82 compared to its opening point at -130.70. The Average recorded as -378.99; weakened by 292.75 compared to -86.24 of the previous session.

MSCD: After today’s market, %K reversed downwards and %D fell below %A. The Histogram printed another longer bar in the negative zone.

MSCD data are appended as below:
<
DATEA_OSC%K%D%AHGM
11/2/2012-95.35-50.32-52.92-73.2810.62
11/5/2012-338.57-94.65-74.09-82.924.38
11/6/2012-254.42-119.23-87.45-89.16-2.85
11/7/2012-86.24-114.15-87.36-89.05-7.64
11/8/2012-378.99-154.89-108.97-99.60-15.29
LAST+--292.75-40.73-21.61-10.54-7.66


Analysis: The mid-term bearishness is confirmed and market sentiment will take longer time to recover. Above all, %K must first turn its head upward and cut %D from underneath.

Today, all boards suffered from heavy selling especially those from small-caps. However, analysts said US will recover soon and thus, provides an accumulating opportunity for short-term trade.

Explanation on MSCD: 
1. %K (Yellow) is a 12-Day EMA Oscillator that reflects the trend of present market sentiment. 
2. %D (Red) is a 26-Day EMA Oscillator serves as a trigger line for short-term trend of market sentiment. Market is considered as under short term bearishness once %K fell below %D but will recover sooner or vice versa.
3. %A (Blue) is a 54-Day EMA Oscillator serves as a trigger line for mid-term trend of market sentiment. Market is considered as under mid-term bearishness once %D fell below %A and will take longer to recover or vice versa. 
4. HGM (Histogram) is a bar signal that shows the relative strength of %K and %D. 
5. All data are taken from the Intra-Day Market Sentiment Oscillator (MSO) computed from the number of Gainer and Loser in a regular time basis.


No comments: